Early Action & Risk Tracking Hub (eEARTH)
About eEARTH
From local disputes to great power competition, resources increasingly define modern conflict. Climate shocks – floods destroying harvests, droughts emptying reservoirs – can amplify tensions and provoke deadly violence. eEARTH fuses cutting-edge data analytics with political expertise to monitor such risks and detect warning signals before conflict explodes.
Latest Updates – Resources in Conflict
Analyst’s Notebook / Africa – 19 May 2026
Somalia Barrels toward Possible Famine amid Aid Cuts
Crisis Group experts Chris Newton and Omar Mahmood explain the latest famine warnings for Somalia and the scant prospects of relief on the horizon
With a Fragile Ceasefire under Threat, What Future for the Strait of Hormuz?
The U.S.-Israeli war with Iran prompted Tehran to close the Strait of Hormuz, allowing only selected ships to pass through. In this Q&A, Crisis Group experts Yasmine Farouk, Chris Newton and Ali Vaez consider what could come next in this vital maritime trade corridor.
Report / Africa – 19 December 2025
The M23 Offensive: Elusive Peace in the Great Lakes
Parallel peace talks between the Congolese government and Rwanda and the M23 rebels, respectively, have yielded welcome agreements. But as these negotiations have proceeded, the battles in the eastern Democratic Republic of Congo have become more intense. Diplomats need to redouble their efforts.
Report / Middle East & North Africa – 09 December 2025
Strengthening Iraq-Türkiye Ties amid Regional Tensions
After years of fraught relations, Ankara and Baghdad are charting a course toward rapprochement. But much depends on how the two sides (and other parties) manage various thorny issues. They should make every effort to sustain the momentum that has begun to take hold.
Report / Middle East & North Africa – 19 August 2025
Grievance and Flawed Governance in Iran’s Baluchestan
Baluchestan, an arid region in south-eastern Iran, suffers from stark socio-economic deficits and increasing water stress, widening the state-society gap that exists across the country and sustaining separatist militancy. Addressing these problems would signal that Tehran is serious about tackling systemic domestic challenges.
Event Recording / Global – 15 September 2025
Tracking Resources and Conflict in a Fracturing World
In this online event, Crisis Group experts unveiled our new early warning platform, the Early Action & Risk Tracking Hub, and demonstrated how eEARTH’s integrated approach offers a powerful framework for anticipating risks in the Horn of Africa and beyond.
Analyst’s Notebook / Africa – 17 June 2025
Succession Crisis Drives South Sudan toward Famine
Crisis Group experts Daniel Akech and Chris Newton on how the latest famine warning reveals the humanitarian toll of a political fight that risks reigniting civil war.
Commentary / Middle East & North Africa – 06 June 2025
The Gaza Starvation Experiment
Israel’s new U.S.-backed aid scheme in Gaza integrates food into military strategy. Since the war began, Israel has restricted aid, easing up when famine alerts appeared, tightening as attention faded. Now, amid a bloody rollout, the new mechanism risks entrenching starvation rather than ending it.
The Stakes of Stripping Climate from UN Peacekeeping in South Sudan
The UN Security Council will soon vote on the future of the peacekeeping mission in conflict-hit South Sudan. In this Q&A, Nazanine Moshiri discusses what is at stake and why climate and peace should remain part of the mission’s work.
Video / Asia-Pacific – 10 October 2024
The Mekong’s Troubled Waters
In this video, affected communities and activists speak about how rapid development along the Mekong River is causing escalating harm to the region’s ecosystems.
Podcast / Africa – 12 June 2024
With Oil Exports Disrupted, What Lies Ahead for South Sudan?
In this episode of The Horn, Alan is joined by Edmund Yakani, executive director of the Community Empowerment for Progress Organization, to discuss new political talks in Kenya and whether South Sudan can weather a sudden plunge in oil revenue.
Commentary / Latin America & Caribbean – 08 December 2023
Crimes against the Climate: Violence and Deforestation in the Amazon
Organised crime has infiltrated the Amazon basin, seeking land for growing coca, rivers for drug trafficking and veins of gold underground. These groups are endangering the rainforest and the safety of those attempting to defend it. It is imperative that regional governments take protective measures.
eEARTH Supporters
CrisisWatch
CrisisWatch is International Crisis Group’s global conflict tracker, an early warning tool designed to help prevent deadly violence. It keeps decision-makers up-to-date with developments in over 70 conflicts and crises every month, identifying trends and alerting them to risks of escalation and opportunities to advance peace. In addition, CrisisWatch monitors over 50 situations (“standby monitoring”) to offer timely information if developments indicate a drift toward violence or instability.
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