Early Action & Risk Tracking Hub (eEARTH)
About the Early Warning System
From local disputes to great power competition, resources increasingly define modern conflict. Climate shocks – floods destroying harvests, droughts emptying reservoirs – can amplify tensions and provoke deadly violence. eEARTH fuses cutting-edge data analytics with political expertise to monitor such risks and detect warning signals before conflict explodes.
Latest Updates – Resources in Conflict
Analyst’s Notebook / Middle East & North Africa – 31 July 2025
“The Worst-case Scenario of Famine is Currently Playing Out in the Gaza Strip”
Crisis Group experts Robert Blecher and Chris Newton explain new findings about starvation and famine risk in Gaza, and how Israel’s starvation experiment may be reaching its inevitable, deadly conclusion.
Analyst’s Notebook / Africa – 17 June 2025
Succession Crisis Drives South Sudan toward Famine
Crisis Group experts Daniel Akech and Chris Newton on how the latest famine warning reveals the humanitarian toll of a political fight that risks reigniting civil war.
Commentary / Middle East & North Africa – 06 June 2025
The Gaza Starvation Experiment
Israel’s new U.S.-backed aid scheme in Gaza integrates food into military strategy. Since the war began, Israel has restricted aid, easing up when famine alerts appeared, tightening as attention faded. Now, amid a bloody rollout, the new mechanism risks entrenching starvation rather than ending it.
The Stakes of Stripping Climate from UN Peacekeeping in South Sudan
The UN Security Council will soon vote on the future of the peacekeeping mission in conflict-hit South Sudan. In this Q&A, Nazanine Moshiri discusses what is at stake and why climate and peace should remain part of the mission’s work.
Report / Africa – 10 December 2024
Fighting Climate Change in Somalia’s Conflict Zones
Few countries are more exposed to the ill effects of climate change than Somalia. Insecurity compounds the problem, with the Al-Shabaab insurgency exploiting drought conditions as a means of social control. Mogadishu needs help in dealing with the nexus of armed conflict and weather shocks.
Video / Asia-Pacific – 10 October 2024
The Mekong’s Troubled Waters
In this video, affected communities and activists speak about how rapid development along the Mekong River is causing escalating harm to the region’s ecosystems.
Podcast / Africa – 12 June 2024
With Oil Exports Disrupted, What Lies Ahead for South Sudan?
In this episode of The Horn, Alan is joined by Edmund Yakani, executive director of the Community Empowerment for Progress Organization, to discuss new political talks in Kenya and whether South Sudan can weather a sudden plunge in oil revenue.
Commentary / Latin America & Caribbean – 08 December 2023
Crimes against the Climate: Violence and Deforestation in the Amazon
Organised crime has infiltrated the Amazon basin, seeking land for growing coca, rivers for drug trafficking and veins of gold underground. These groups are endangering the rainforest and the safety of those attempting to defend it. It is imperative that regional governments take protective measures.
CrisisWatch
CrisisWatch is International Crisis Group’s global conflict tracker, an early warning tool designed to help prevent deadly violence. It keeps decision-makers up-to-date with developments in over 70 conflicts and crises every month, identifying trends and alerting them to risks of escalation and opportunities to advance peace. In addition, CrisisWatch monitors over 50 situations (“standby monitoring”) to offer timely information if developments indicate a drift toward violence or instability.
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